Issues that will affect Study
of Environment in the Future
1.Population and Urbanization (increasing needs forinfrastructures and utilities and better quality of life)
The current global population is expected to increase by 40million a year or reach by 10 billion by this century
It is expected that by 2030, more than 60 percent of thepopulation will be living in the urban areas. The growth of megacities likeMetro Manila with 13 t0 15 million population
It has great impact on how we manage our natural resourcesand design and investment in infrastructure
- Population and Urbanization
- an empirical correlation exists between the rateof population growth and the level of economic development, which is oftenequated to quality of life
- Meeting and stabilizing population growth ispossible through improving quality of life and expanded development that isequitable and sustainable
- The challenge is how do we improve quality oflife?
2. Health (unclean air, water and land)
World Health Organization
estimates that poor environmental quality contributes to 25percent of all preventable illness in the world.
reports that 900 million people lack access to an improvedwater supply
for people living in poverty, illness and disabilitytranslate directly to loss of income. This can be devastating for individualsand their families who are dependent on health for their income
Health is linked to Sustainable Development –” Health is theoutcome of sustainable development. The goals of sustainable development cannotbe achieved when there is high prevalence of debilitating illness and poverty,and health of the population cannot be achieved without a responsive healthsystem and healthy environment. Environmental degradation, mismanagement ofnatural resources, and unhealthy consumption patterns and lifestyles impacthealth. Ill health in turn, hampers poverty alleviation and economicdevelopment (WHO, 2005)
Ecosystem provides the fundamental stepping stone in theeconomic empowerment of rural poor.
3. Water Scarcity, Conflict and Resolution (limitedresource and distribution)
Water scarcity is a situation where there is insufficientwater to satisfy normal human requirements. WHO defines normal humanrequirements as reasonable access to a water source: availability of at least20 L/capita-day from a source within 1 km of the user’s dwelling.
A country is defined as experiencing water stress whenannual water supplies drop below 1,700 m3 per person and waterscarce when annual water supplies drop below 1,000 m3.
The Philippines is expected to have water scarcity by 2025(World Meteorological Org.)
Water is expected to be a source of source of both tensionand cooperation in the future.
Finding sustainable economic solution to the waterinfrastructure problems is another challenge.
4. Energy and Climate (GHG emissions)
Energy consumption of the country has increased for the pastten years due to commercial and industrial development and improveaccessibility.
It is expected that supply of energy will further declinedue to increase in demand and limited energy development projects
Energy consumption is one reason why greenhouse gas iscausing change to our climate. Majority of these emissions aree associated withburning fossil fuels.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change expects thatGlobal Temperature will likely rise from a range of 2.4 oC to 6.4 oC.
Impact of Climate Change differs in every location –drought, floods, typhoons, loss of species
GHG can be curbed if overall emissions are reduced by 80% by2050 (some scientists)
5. Toxic Chemical and Finite Resources (release of toxicchemicals and reliance to non-renewable
resources)
The release of toxic chemicals to the environment remains aglobal issue (Nuclear disaster in Fukushima)
These poses great health risk to human health and theecosystems
Reliance to non-renewable resources will increase in largemagnitude due to population growth
It could be mitigated by integrating in the design the useof green technologies
6. Materials flow and built environment (the embodiedenergy used by the materials and urban heat islands)
The built environment is where we live, work, shop, studyand play. It requires tremendous amount of water, energy and natural resourcesfor its construction and operation.
Materials used in building the built environment usestremendous resources and energy
The built environment also affects the local heating ofurban areas – termed as the “Urban Heat Island” – as well as the quantity ofwater that cycles
Impervious structures affects the filtration of water to theaquifers
A strategy to mitigate effect is through “smart growth ornew urbanism”. Both of these approaches to urban development are focused ondesigning communities that preserve natural lands, protect water and airquality and reuse developed land.